Monday, 15 June 2026

Royal Ascot's most unlikely winners


   

Royal Ascot has a tendency to expose horses. Five days, the sharpest fields in flat racing, and a track that punishes anything less than a proper performance. Most long shots are long shots for a reason, which is why those putting together their ante-post selections for Royal Ascot tend to gravitate toward the familiar names at the top of the market. But every so often, a horse arrives at the meeting carrying no real expectation and leaves having rewritten their own story.

With Royal Ascot 2026 running from 16 to 20 June and a fresh set of contenders heading to Berkshire, it's worth looking back at some of the horses who showed what the meeting can do to a reputation when everything falls right.

 

Accidental Agent (2018 Queen Anne Stakes)

Few horses at a Group 1 level have looked less ready before a race than Accidental Agent looked before the 2018 Queen Anne Stakes. Sweating visibly in the parade ring and sent off at 33/1, Eve Johnson Houghton's five-year-old looked an unlikely candidate. He won by half a length, flying home from the back of the field under Charles Bishop. The performance came from nowhere and went against everything the betting suggested. Accidental Agent never reached those heights again, but the day itself was undeniable.

 

Flashmans Papers (2008 Windsor Castle Stakes)

Trainer John Best had never saddled a Royal Ascot winner when he entered Flashmans Papers in the Windsor Castle Stakes. The horse went off at 100/1 and was behind even his own stablemates in the market. Best had given him a break to strengthen, hoping the additional distance of five furlongs would suit him better than the minimum trips where his form had faded. It did. Flashmans Papers came from behind in the final two furlongs to win by half a length. At triple-figure odds, it remains one of the most unlikely group race results the meeting has produced.

 

Mostahdaf (2023 Prince of Wales's Stakes)

Mostahdaf arrived at the 2023 Prince of Wales's Stakes as a 10/1 outsider in a field that included that year's Irish Champion Stakes winner Luxembourg. John and Thady Gosden's five-year-old had been placed in Group 3 company and had finished fourth in the Dubai Sheema Classic on his previous start. Under Jim Crowley, he settled at the back of the six-runner field before running on powerfully to beat Luxembourg by four lengths. The margin told a clearer story than the odds had suggested. Mostahdaf went on to defend the title in 2024 and became one of the most recognisable middle-distance horses in training.

 

Docklands (2025 Queen Anne Stakes)

Last year's opener produced one of the more recent examples. Docklands, a five-year-old trained by Harry Eustace and ridden by Mark Zahra, started at 13/1 in a field headed by Rosallion, the 9/5 favourite who had won the St James's Palace Stakes at the previous year's meeting. Zahra dropped his whip inside the final furlong, but it made no difference. Docklands had finished second in this race 12 months earlier and went one better this time, holding on by a nose. For a horse with Ascot form, the price was always arguably on the generous side.

 

Khaadem (2022 Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes)

Perhaps the most extreme result of recent years. Khaadem started at 80/1 for the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes and won by a length and a half under Oisin Murphy. Trained by Charlie Hills, he had won the race two years earlier but had given little sign heading into the 2021 renewal that he was about to run a career-best. Bookmakers reported significant losses on the day. For those who had backed him, the return was substantial. For everyone else, it was the kind of result that reminds you how much can go undetected in a large field on a big day.